Unpredictability hampers economic growth
Residents told Navanti researchers that construction and real estate activity decreased over the summer as a Turkish attack appeared increasingly likely. Investors are wary to put money into even short-term projects that might disappear in a wave of future violence.
People are no longer building or rebuilding anything, or purchasing goods, because the Turks might invade. — Farmer, Ras al-Ayn
As a border town, Ras al-Ayn has historically benefited from trade. These days, people from neighboring areas hesitate to enter and conduct business due to the specter of armed conflict and strict security measures imposed by local forces.
Notably, Turkey’s threats of invasion and the accompanying decrease in investment and trade activity followed on the heels of widespread crop fires in northern Syria, which devastated fields around Ras al-Ayn, particularly in the villages of Raseem, Alia, and al-Saidyan.